Monsoon arrives over the West Bengal state on June 10 and takes around 3-4 days to cover the entire state. As of June 11, the southwest monsoon has advanced into parts of Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka after its onset over Kerala on June 1, according to the IMD. It has also covered parts of west central, east central, north west and north east Bay of Bengal.
IMD predicts that the monsoon winds will progress further into Goa, the remaining parts of Tamil Nadu and the north eastern states. It will also cover the central Arabian Sea and northern Bay of Bengal. After that, the monsoon will move into Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal and Sikkim by tomorrow, June 12.
Rains bring a lot in their way.While they bring hope to the farmer, a question mark hangs. Would it rain through the season, and rain enough and rain just in time for the sowing, to promote good crop growth and later a good harvest?
The monsoon forecast is critical to India's food production and GDP growth - deficient rains could adversely impact farmer incomes and thereby drag down rural demand and consumption. This could hurt overall economic growth, especially at a time when agriculture is expected to be the only bright spot for India in 2020-21. While manufacturing is expected to be hit partially because of Covid-19 and the lockdown, the services sector- aviation, travel and tourism - is not expected to recover at least in the first half of 2020-21.
India is the world's biggest producer of sugar, cotton and pulses, the second largest producer of wheat and rice. The success of these crops is largely determined by the June-September southwest monsoon, which delivers about 70% of the country's annual rainfall.
Our farmers face difficulties every season like bad weather, crop failure, locust attack and many more but now these factors all come at a single time. The pandemic has certainly taken a toll on agriculture with farmers being unable to sell their crops due to lockdown. The locust attacks deemed to be one of the worst in years and cyclones Amphan have addede to the woes as the next crop cycle approaches.
Today, the IMD issued a forecast of thunderstorms at 30-40 kmph in isolated areas of West Bengal, Odisha on the last day of the last week. According to the forecast, heavy rains have started in the south bengal districts of West Bengal since this morning. According to meteorological sources, heavy to very heavy rains are likely in various parts of India in the next 48 hours, by June 13.
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